Putting $400M of Bitcoin on your company balance sheet
Also posted on my blog as usual. Read it there if you can, there are footnotes and inlined plots. A couple of months ago, MicroStrategy (MSTR) had a spare $400M of cash which it decided to shift to Bitcoin (BTC). Today we'll discuss in excrutiating detail why this is not a good idea. When a company has a pile of spare money it doesn't know what to do with, it'll normally do buybacks or start paying dividends. That gives the money back to the shareholders, and from an economic perspective the money can get better invested in other more promising companies. If you have a huge pile of of cash, you probably should be doing other things than leave it in a bank account to gather dust. However, this statement from MicroStrategy CEO Michael Saylor exists to make it clear he's buying into BTC for all the wrong reasons:
“This is not a speculation, nor is it a hedge. This was a deliberate corporate strategy to adopt a bitcoin standard.”
Let's unpack it and jump into the economics Bitcoin:
Is Bitcoin money?
No. Or rather BTC doesn't act as money and there's no serious future path for BTC to become a form of money. Let's go back to basics. There are 3 main economic problems money solves: 1. Medium of Exchange. Before money we had to barter, which led to the double coincidence of wants problem. When everyone accepts the same money you can buy something from someone even if they don't like the stuff you own. As a medium of exchange, BTC is not good. There are significant transaction fees and transaction waiting times built-in to BTC and these worsen the more popular BTC get. You can test BTC's usefulness as a medium of exchange for yourself right now: try to order a pizza or to buy a random item with BTC. How many additional hurdles do you have to go through? How many fewer options do you have than if you used a regular currency? How much overhead (time, fees) is there? 2. Unit of Account. A unit of account is what you compare the value of objects against. We denominate BTC in terms of how many USD they're worth, so BTC is a unit of account presently. We can say it's because of lack of adoption, but really it's also because the market value of BTC is so volatile. If I buy a $1000 table today or in 2017, it's roughly a $1000 table. We can't say that a 0.4BTC table was a 0.4BTC table in 2017. We'll expand on this in the next point: 3. Store of Value. When you create economic value, you don't want to be forced to use up the value you created right away. For instance, if I fix your washing machine and you pay me in avocados, I'd be annoyed. I'd have to consume my payment before it becomes brown, squishy and disgusting. Avocado fruit is not good money because avocadoes loses value very fast. On the other hand, well-run currencies like the USD, GBP, CAD, EUR, etc. all lose their value at a low and most importantly fairly predictible rate. Let's look at the chart of the USD against BTC While the dollar loses value at a predictible rate, BTC is all over the place, which is bad. One important use money is to write loan contracts. Loans are great. They let people spend now against their future potential earnings, so they can buy houses or start businesses without first saving up for a decade. Loans are good for the economy. If you want to sign something that says "I owe you this much for that much time" then you need to be able to roughly predict the value of the debt in at the point in time where it's due. Otherwise you'll have a hard time pricing the risk of the loan effectively. This means that you need to charge higher interests. The risk of making a loan in BTC needs to be priced into the interest of a BTC-denominated loan, which means much higher interest rates. High interests on loans are bad, because buying houses and starting businesses are good things.
BTC has a fixed supply, so these problems are built in
Some people think that going back to a standard where our money was denominated by a stock of gold (the Gold Standard) would solve economic problems. This is nonsense. Having control over supply of your currency is a good thing, as long as it's well run. See here Remember that what is desirable is low variance in the value, not the value itself. When there are wild fluctuations in value, it's hard for money to do its job well. Since the 1970s, the USD has been a fiat money with no intrinsic value. This means we control the supply of money. Let's look at a classic poorly drawn econ101 graph The market price for USD is where supply meets demand. The problem with a currency based on an item whose supply is fixed is that the price will necessarily fluctuate in response to changes in demand. Imagine, if you will, that a pandemic strikes and that the demand for currency takes a sharp drop. The US imports less, people don't buy anything anymore, etc. If you can't print money, you get deflation, which is worsens everything. On the other hand, if you can make the money printers go brrrr you can stabilize the price Having your currency be based on a fixed supply isn't just bad because in/deflation is hard to control. It's also a national security risk... The story of the guy who crashed gold prices in North Africa In the 1200s, Mansa Munsa, the emperor of the Mali, was rich and a devout Muslim and wanted everyone to know it. So he embarked on a pilgrimage to make it rain all the way to Mecca. He in fact made it rain so hard he increased the overall supply of gold and unintentionally crashed gold prices in Cairo by 20%, wreaking an economic havoc in North Africa that lasted a decade. This story is fun, the larger point that having your inflation be at the mercy of foreign nations is an undesirable attribute in any currency. The US likes to call some countries currency manipulators, but this problem would be serious under a gold standard.
Currencies are based on trust
Since the USD is based on nothing except the US government's word, how can we trust USD not to be mismanaged? The answer is that you can probably trust the fed until political stooges get put in place. Currently, the US's central bank managing the USD, the Federal Reserve (the Fed for friends & family), has administrative authority. The fed can say "no" to dumb requests from the president. People who have no idea what the fed does like to chant "audit the fed", but the fed is already one of the best audited US federal entities. The transcripts of all their meetings are out in the open. As is their balance sheet, what they plan to do and why. If the US should audit anything it's the Department of Defense which operates without any accounting at all. It's easy to see when a central bank will go rogue: it's when political yes-men are elected to the board. For example, before printing themselves into hyperinflation, the Venezuelan president appointed a sociologist who publicly stated “Inflation does not exist in real life” and instead is a made up capitalist lie. Note what happened mere months after his gaining control over the Venezuelan currency This is a key policy. One paper I really like, Sargent (1984) "The end of 4 big inflations" states:
The essential measures that ended hyperinflation in each of Germany,Austria, Hungary, and Poland were, first, the creation of an independentcentral bank that was legally committed to refuse the government'sdemand or additional unsecured credit and, second, a simultaneousalteration in the fiscal policy regime.
In english: *hyperinflation stops when the central bank can say "no" to the government." The US Fed, like other well good central banks, is run by a bunch of nerds. When it prints money, even as aggressively as it has it does so for good reasons. You can see why they started printing on March 15th as the COVID lockdowns started:
The Federal Reserve is prepared to use its full range of tools to support the flow of credit to households and businesses and thereby promote its maximum employment and price stability goals.
In english: We're going to keep printing and lowering rates until jobs are back and inflation is under control. If we print until the sun is blotted out, we'll print in the shade.
BTC is not gold
Gold is a good asset for doomsday-preppers. If society crashes, gold will still have value. How do we know that? Gold has held value throughout multiple historic catastrophes over thousands of years. It had value before and after the Bronze Age Collapse, the Fall of the Western Roman Empire and Gengis Khan being Gengis Khan. Even if you erased humanity and started over, the new humans would still find gold to be economically valuable. When Europeans d̶i̶s̶c̶o̶v̶e̶r̶e̶d̶ c̶o̶n̶q̶u̶e̶r̶e̶d̶ g̶e̶n̶o̶c̶i̶d̶e̶d̶ went to America, they found gold to be an important item over there too. This is about equivalent to finding humans on Alpha-Centauri and learning that they think gold is a good store of value as well. Some people are puzzled at this: we don't even use gold for much! But it has great properties: First, gold is hard to fake and impossible to manufacture. This makes it good to ascertain payment. Second, gold doesnt react to oxygen, so it doesn't rust or tarnish. So it keeps value over time unlike most other materials. Last, gold is pretty. This might sound frivolous, and you may not like it, but jewelry has actual value to humans. It's no coincidence if you look at a list of the wealthiest families, a large number of them trade in luxury goods. To paraphrase Veblen humans have a profound desire to signal social status, for the same reason peacocks have unwieldy tails. Gold is a great way to achieve that. On the other hand, BTC lacks all these attributes. Its value is largely based on common perception of value. There are a few fundamental drivers of demand:
Means of Exchange: if people seriously start using BTC to buy pizzas, then this creates a real demand for the currency to accomplish the short-term exchanges. As we saw previously, I'm not personally sold on this one and it's currently a negligible fraction of overall demand.
Criminal uses: Probably the largest inbuilt advantage of BTC is that it's anonymous, and so a great way to launder money. Hacker gangs use BTC to demand ransom on cryptolocker type attacks because it's a shared way for an honest company to pay and for the criminals to receive money without going to jail.
Apart from these, it's hard to argue that BTC will retain value throughout some sort of economic catastrophe.
BTC is really risky
One last statement from Michael Saylor I take offense to is this:
“We feel pretty confident that Bitcoin is less risky than holding cash, less risky than holding gold,” MicroStrategy CEO said in an interview
"BTC is less risky than holding cash or gold long term" is nonsense. We saw before that BTC is more volatile on face value, and that as long as the Fed isn't run by spider monkeys stacked in a trench coat, the inflation is likely to be within reasonable bounds. But on top of this, BTC has Abrupt downside risks that normal currencies don't. Let's imagine a few:
A critical software vulnerability is found in the BTC codebase, leading to a possible exploitation.
Xi Jinping decides he's had enough of rich people in China hiding their assets from him and bans BTC.
Some form of bank run takes hold for whatever reason. Because BTC wallets are uninsured, unlike regular banks, this compounds into a Black Tuesday style crash.
Blockchain solutions are fundamentally inefficient
Blockchain was a genius idea. I still marvel at the initial white paper which is a great mix of economics and computer science. That said, blockchain solutions make large tradeoffs in design because they assume almost no trust between parties. This leads to intentionally wasteful designs on a massive scale. The main problem is that all transactions have to be validated by expensive computational operations and double checked by multiple parties. This means waste:
BTC was estimated to use as much electricity as Belgium in 2019. It's hard to trace where the BTC mining comes from, but we can assume it has a huge carbon footprint.
A single transactions is necessarily expensive. A single transaction takes as much electricity as 800,000 VISA transactions, or watching 50,000 hours of youtube videos.
There is a large necessary tax on the transaction, since those checking the transaction extract a few BTC from it to be incentivized to do the work of checking it.
Many design problems can be mitigated by various improvements over BTC, but it remains that a simple database always works better than a blockchain if you can trust the parties to the transaction.
PUNTO DE PARTIDA PARA NEWBIES EN INVERSIONES. POR DONDE ARRANCAR?
¿Para quién es este post?
Este post está pensado para los que tienen plata y no saben que hacer, los que como mucho hicieron plazos fijos o comprar dolar en home-banking o ir al blue. La idea es dar una breve introducción, que sea llevadera, no muy técnica y en términos sencillos, de que cosas hay que tener en cuenta ahora que se decidieron adentrarse en el mundo de las inversiones. Espero que después de leer esta introducción, les sirva para poner en contexto las preguntas que se tienen que hacer, la información que necesitan investigar y capacitarse, antes de efectivamente ponerse a invertir. Y de yapa por haber leído hasta acá, se llevan el primer consejo: no invertir sin tener bien claro en qué nos estamos metiendo! Antes de arrancar: no confundir inversiones bursátiles con finanzas personales. Las finanzas personales abarcan toda la gestión de ingresos, inversiones, ahorros y gastos en la "microeconomia" de una persona. Acá nos vamos a centrar solamente en la parte de inversiones, en el marco de las finanzas personales.
Primero unas definiciones básicas
Vamos a arrancar con algunos conceptos que pueden parecer medio abstractos sobre el temas de dinero, para después tener una base y poder ir directo a la cuestión de inversiones. Valor tiempo del dinero Lo primero que tenemos que entender es el valor tiempo del dinero, un concepto muy sencillo pero que pocos lo tienen formalizado. Por suerte, es muy fácil de incorporar y de aprender. Puesto de manera sencilla y sin entrar en muchos números: la misma cantidad de dinero vale mas HOY que mañana. Y cuanto mas tiempo pasa, menos vale el mismo dinero. Vale aclarar que no estoy teniendo en cuenta conceptos como devaluación o inflación en este momento, simplemente que el mismo dinero hoy, va a valer mas que mañana. Veamos este concepto con un ejemplo sencillo. Cómo ordenarias según orden de preferencia las siguientes opciones?
Recibir $100 hoy
Recibir $100 mañana
Recibir $100 en 1 mes
Creo que esta claro que el orden dado, es el orden de preferencia de cualquiera de nosotros. La cuestión se pone interesante cuando empezamos a jugar con el monto vs el tiempo. Por ejemplo:
Recibir $100 hoy
Recibir $200 mañana
Recibir $1000 en 12 meses
En este caso ya empiezan a jugar otras variables. Que tan valioso es para mi el dinero hoy vs el dinero en el futuro? En esta valuación entran en juego conceptos que no voy a explicar aca pero son muy interesantes de profundizar, como el concepto de NPV (Net present value o valor presente neto), IRR o TIR (Tasa Interna de Retorno) y tasa de descuento (Discount factor). Riesgo Hay muchas maneras de definir riesgo, pero en este contexto vamos a quedarnos con una definición mas estadística para que sea fácil de entender. El riesgo es una medida de que tanta certeza vamos a tener de nuestro retorno esperado. Por ejemplo, el concepto de una tasa libre de riesgo es un caso extremo: una inversion de rendimiento fijo y conocido de antemano, que, como el nombre lo implica, se considera que tiene no tiene riesgo. Esto se traduce en que el rendimiento esperado es igual al rendimiento efectivo (o realizado) que vamos a tener al final de la inversion. En el caso de inversiones globales, se considera a los bonos del tesoro de EEUU como libre de riesgo. En nuestro caso, podemos tomar a los plazos fijos de los bancos (o mas correctamente los instrumentos de renta fija del tesoro argentino). Una vez establecido el nivel base de riesgo 0, la escala de riesgo va variando a medida que consideramos distintos instrumentos, e incluso dentro de los instrumentos, hay varios atributos para analizar. Para intentar predecir la dispersión alrededor de nuestro retorno esperado, lo que se suele hacer es basarse en la volatilidad histórica del instrumento a analizar. Para dar algunos ejemplos, una acción de un banco Argentino tiene mas riesgo que una acción de un banco de EEUU. Esto se puede analizar coyunturalmente, o se puede mirar las variaciones históricas recientes de los precios. Otra manera de pensar el riesgo, es adoptar la postura de que el mercado es "eficiente" y que los retornos esperados ya reflejan los mayores riesgos. Es decir: a mayor retorno esperado, mayor riesgo. Esto quiere decir que hay menos probabilidad hay de conseguir ese retorno esperado. Dependiendo del instrumento, estos retornos esperados se pueden calcular facilmente como en instrumentos de renta fija (métricas como TIR, paridad, etc) o pueden ser mas difíciles de calcular como en renta variable, aunque tenemos distintos ratios (o múltiplos) que podemos analizar para comparar el precio de una acción con sus fundamentals (que se desprenden de los balances presentados). Creamos o no en la eficiencia del mercado para pricear (determinar el precio de algo) las cosas, es una buena heurística a tener en cuenta que retornos altos suelen estar acompañados de riesgo alto. El corolario de esto es siempre ser escépticos de retornos altos de bajo riesgo, promesas de "plata fácil" y ese tipo de oportunidades. Retorno real vs nominal Una aclaración que nos debemos es distinguir entre retornos reales y retornos nominales. Los retornos nominales son los retornos directos obtenidos sin ningún ajuste. Por ejemplo, invertimos $100 en una acción que en 5 años se convirtieron en $200. Eso nos da un retorno del 100%. Sin embargo, esos $200 probablemente tengan menor poder adquisitivo, ya sea por devaluación (midiendo contra otras monedas) o inflación (midiendo contra bienes). Por ejemplo, si sabemos que en esos 5 años la inflación fue del 50%, nuestro retorno real fue del %50 entonces. Es muy importante siempre medir nuestras inversiones teniendo en cuenta los retornos REALES. Particularmente en pesos, donde la perdida del poder adquisitivo es tan tangible. De hecho, mi recomendación es medir las inversiones en monedas mas estables como el dolar, por defecto. Como dato de color, la inflación del dolar es de aprox. 2% anual.
Receta básica para una inversion
Que componentes tiene una inversion? Estos son los ingredientes mínimos que la componen:
Capital: Monto de dinero para invertir
Retorno: Cual es el % o monto de ganancia sobre el capital que esperamos obtener. Puede ser aproximado.
Riesgo: Medida de que tan probable es que consigamos el retorno esperado. Difícil de estimar exactamente!
Horizonte/plazo: Cuanto tenemos que dejar la plata para maximizar las chances del retorno esperado
Instrumento: El método mediante el cual vamos a invertir
Liquidez: que tan rápido/costoso es entrasalir
Moneda: en que moneda podemos entrasalir de la inversion
Fricciones: gastos/comisiones/impuestos a tener en cuenta
Dados estos ingredientes, vemos que algunos son variables que podemos definir nosotros y otros son interdependientes. Veamos algunos ejemplos:
Si queremos obtener una ganancia de 100 pesos en un plazo fijo con tasa 1% mensual, el resto de las variables quedan prácticamente predefinidas: el riesgo es casi nulo, y por ende el retorno es conocido. El capital es función del retorno en este caso, tenemos que colocar 10k pesos. El horizonte es 1 mes. La liquidez es nula, no podemos retirar el dinero hasta que no termina nuestra inversion. Y la moneda es pesos. Prácticamente no hay gastos ni impuestos que nos importen.
Quiero invertir 10k USD y obtener una rentabilidad de 5% anual durante 2 años. En este caso, un instrumento adecuado para ese tipo de inversion podría ser un bono corporativo en USD. La moneda es en dolares y el hecho de tener un plazo de inversion corto con un rendimiento de 5% anual, nos fija que el riesgo que vamos a tener que correr va a ser moderado (si comparamos con la tasa libre de riesgo o con otros bonos que rinden similares tasas). La liquidez es baja porque los bonos corporativos no se negocian mucho, y el costo de salir antes puede ser moderado, dependiendo del instrumento en sí. Los gastos van a ser los de operar, comisiones al broker, hay que investigar los impuestos respecto a este instrumento.
Si mi objetivo es duplicar un capital de 25k pesos en un mes: para eso podemos utilizar opciones sobre acciones locales, intentando capturar la tendencia en algún papel que hayamos estudiado. Necesitamos conocer en profundidad el instrumento (en este caso opciones) y saber que estamos corriendo un riesgo alto, que vamos a pasar, con alta probabilidad, por periodos de grandes perdidas, incluso llegando a perder todo nuestro capital. La liquidez es alta, podemos salir cuando querramos, pero con alto costo, dada la importancia del timing. Las comisiones van a ser altas, impuestos a renta financiera también.
Depositar mis ahorros en algún instrumento para generar rentabilidades minimas hasta necesitarlos, sin asumir mucho riesgo. Podemos buscar un fondo común de inversion en USD que invierta en bonos LATAM de mas bajo riesgo. O llevar nuestro dinero al exterior e invertir en un ETF de bonos globales o del tesoro de EEUU de bajo riesgo. Vamos a tener nuestra inversion en USD, liquidez alta aunque puede ser costosa si involucra mover fondos en el exterior debido a las comisiones. El riesgo es bajo. Hay que tener en cuenta los impuestos, especialmente por la moneda y el hecho de ser en el extranjero en el segundo caso.
Como se puede apreciar, en estas tensiones entre todos estos (y otros) atributos, hay juegos entre retornos esperados y "primas" (costos) que hay que pagar. Por ejemplo, por operar un instrumento poco liquido, tenemos la "prima de liquidez" que se refiere a los costos extra de por ejemplo, comprar un instrumento mas caro porque no hay vendedores a un precio mas barato. Otro ejemplo es la "prima de inversiones extranjeras", donde aumentan nuestros gastos de movimiento de fondos e impositivos. Incluso hay limitaciones con respecto al capital: algunas inversiones son poco viables si tenemos muy poco o demasiado capital para invertir, ya sea por mínimos requeridos o porque no hay liquidez suficiente en el instrumento que nos interesa.
Los instrumentos mas comunes que debemos aprender
Aca simplemente voy a listar los instrumentos que deberíamos tener en nuestra caja de herramientas de inversión, con un breve comentario de cada uno explicando que usos tiene y de que se trata.
Plazo fijo: rendimientos fijos a plazo conocido. No necesita mucha explicación. Hay que tener mucho cuidado con las tasas nominales vs las tasas reales para ver si convienen o no.
Dolar: refugio de valor por excelencia, pero como el plazo fijo hay veces que conviene y veces que puede ser una mala opción para nuestro perfil.
Cauciones: inversion prácticamente libre de riesgo, como un plazo fijo pero de mas corto plazo. Rara vez las tasas reales son positivas, pero son buenos instrumentos para los que tienen dinero ocioso en la bolsa o para los que quieren apalancarse (invertir con plata prestada) en el corto plazo
Fondos comunes de inversion: dejo un link con introducción. Son instrumentos muy flexibles para inversiones mas pasivas (lo opuesto a inversion activa, en la que debemos estarle encima de manera constante, dia a dia por ej.). Son todo un mundo, ya que al estar compuestos por distintos instrumentos (por ej. acciones, o plazos fijos, etc) cada FCI requiere su propio análisis.
Criptomonedas: activos descentralizados y anónimos que pueden ser útiles para especular o para hacer transacciones por fuera del sistema. También como moneda de cambio o de inversion. Buscar posts sobre CeFi (Centralized finance) y DeFi (Decentralized finance) en el sub, podemos poner nuestras criptos a trabajar en prestamos tipo plazo fijo o en fondos con rendimientos variables. Ejemplos: Bitcoin, Ethereum.
Stablecoins: son criptos que suelen estar atadas de alguna manera u otra al valor del dolar o algún activo mas estable, haciéndolas mas atractivas para perfiles mas conservadores. Igual que las criptos, permiten usarse para cambiar de moneda o inversiones, asi como para hacer transacciones y fondeos. Ejemplos: DAI, USDT.
Acciones (renta variable): nos permite participar en las ganancias de una empresa. Alto riesgo, aunque hay matices dependiendo de la empresa, sector, pais, contexto, etc. Puede ser acciones locales o podemos operar en el exterior directamente y acceder a acciones de todo el mundo.
Bonos (renta fija): son instrumentos con flujos de fondo conocidos. Los riesgos son mayormente de default (escenario de no pago) y de crisis de confianza que pueden hacer bajar los precios (puede ser oportunidad de compra o punto costoso de venta para el tenedor).
CEDEARs: son instrumentos locales en pesos pero que representan acciones del exterior. Nos permite invertir en una gran colección de empresas grandes, mayormente de EEUU pero también de Brazil y las empresas argentinas mas grandes (Mercado Libre y Globant). Tienen ventajas en costos operativos para inversores minoristas en Argentina.
Opciones: son contratos de compra/venta a precios prefijados. Hay infinidad de estrategias, desde lo mas especulativo y de alto riesgo, a cosas muy conservadoras como usarlo como seguro contra la baja de una acción que tenemos en cartera. Por ejemplo, podemos pagar una prima (un costo fijo) por asegurarnos de limitar las perdidas de una acción que tengamos en caso que baje, durante un plazo de tiempo. También nos permite apostar a la baja de una acción! Y apalancarnos, en el sentido de que podemos ganar exposición a mas capital del que tenemos, multiplicando las subas (y las bajas, claro).
ETFs: instrumento que solo se puede operar en el exterior. Como los Fondos Comunes de Inversion, hay de todos los sabores y colores, permitiéndonos invertir de manera diversificada en sectores, países enteros, tendencias de inversion como energias renovables o automatización, grupos de bonos de cierta calidad crediticia, etc.
El rol del broker y el mercado
La mayoría de estos instrumentos se acceden a través de un broker, que es una empresa que nos permite acceso al mercado. Los instrumentos relacionados a crypto se acceden generalmente via exchanges. Para mas información sobre brokers o exchanges, buscar por el sub. En ambos casos, debemos tener presente que comisiones vamos a tener al operar, que instrumentos tiene cada broker, su reputación, atención al cliente, participación en nuevas emisiones y varias cosas mas. Es bastante común tener cuenta comitente (el análogo a una cuenta bancaria, donde en vez de dinero, también podemos tener títulos como acciones, etc) en varios brokers! El mercado en si, no es mas que el medio electrónico donde se intercambian la mayoría de los títulos listados. Este intercambio se hace mediante oferta y demanda, donde tienen prioridad los que quieren comprar a mayor precio y los que quieren vender a menor precio, y luego los que llegan antes en ese orden. Una vez que se matchea el precio de compra, con el precio de venta, se concreta la operación y se intercambian títulos por dinero, determinando así el precio del activo en cuestión. En este mercado, participan todos los inversores, desde un inversor minorista físico buscando timbear unos pesitos o invertir sus ahorros, hasta empresas que emiten deuda o acciones para financiar su operación. Luego tenemos grandes inversores como inversores institucionales, bancos o empresas de seguros que buscan invertir el capital de sus clientes así como provincias y países que buscan financiarse emitiendo bonos.
El perfil del inversor, emociones y disciplina
Ya sabemos entonces que las distintas inversiones van a tener su nivel de riesgo, entre otras limitaciones. El desafío ahora es intentar asegurarnos de que el nivel de riesgo requerido para una inversion, sea adecuado para el inversor. Por qué es importante que el perfil de inversor este en consonancia con la inversion? Porque cuando hay ruido, las emociones nos pueden llevar a romper nuestra estrategia inicial que tan cuidadosamente planeamos. Si no tenemos la disciplina, vamos a hacer estragos. Cabe destacar que esto puede suceder cuando el riesgo de la inversion es mas alto que el que el inversor esta dispuesto a tolerar, asi como en el caso inverso. Esto se puede ilustrar con dos ejemplos:
Compramos CEDEARs de MSFT con el objetivo de sacarnos de encima los pesos y dejarlos en algún lado dolarizado para uso en algunos años, de paso sacando una ganancia. Sin embargo, no nos dimos cuenta que los CEDEARs son instrumentos altamente volátiles, ya que combinan la volatilidad del tipo de cambio, con la volatilidad de la acción subyacente. Un día, el dolar baja abruptamente por alguna medida y al mismo tiempo la empresa presenta balances en EEUU. Vemos que el precio del CEDEAR esta mostrando -10% en la apertura del mercado. A la media hora vemos -15% y temiendo por nuestro capital ,decidimos vender, ya que parece no tener piso. A los 6 meses, el CEDEAR esta 50% arriba del valor al que vendimos y nos queremos morir. Que sucedió? No respetamos la estrategia original. Pero por qué? No necesitábamos esos pesos. Analizamos la empresa y parecia solida. Sin embargo, al momento de ver esa volatilidad diaria, las emociones nos dominaron y vendimos. Esto es una señal de que algo en la inversion original (en este caso el riesgo), no es acorde al perfil del inversor.
Supongamos que somos una persona joven, con buenos prospectos de crecimiento en nuestro laburo y queremos invertir nuestro capital. Como todavia no tenemos muchas obligaciones, nos sobra un buen monto cada mes para invertir. Decidimos ponerlo en plazo fijo todos los meses. Al año, nos damos cuenta que si tuvimos suerte, apenas le ganamos a la inflación. En este caso no vamos a hacer cagadas en el medio de la inversion, pero nos damos cuenta del costo de oportunidad perdido al comparar con haber invertido en instrumentos mas rendidores como acciones. Al evaluar esta situación, decidimos elegir otra estrategia para nuestra próxima inversion.
Para intentar determinar nuestro perfil de inversor podemos utilizar tests online. Si bien nos pueden dar una idea, es esperable que hasta no tener las manos en la masa, no nos demos cuenta de cual es realmente nuestro perfil. Una ultima cuestión a tener en cuenta con respecto al perfil, es que si bien el riesgo es uno de los items mas importantes a descubrir, no es el único. Otro importante por ejemplo, es el plazo. Podemos pensar que estamos a largo plazo, pero si estamos mirando nuestra inversion dia a día, tenemos una disonancia. Otro es el nivel de conocimiento de los instrumentos a operar en la estrategia. Si nos metemos a compravender futuros sin tener mucha idea de la mecánica, aumentamos exponencialmente las chances de que salga todo mal, por mas que el resto de la estrategia este delineada cuidadosamente.
La importancia de la diversificación
Diversificar significa reducir o eliminar riesgos, mediante la combinación de varios instrumentos. Vamos a dar varios ejemplos en vez de entrar en definiciones:
Supongamos que queremos apostar a la recuperación de los cruceros luego de la pandemia del COVID. Una opción es ir y comprar acciones de RCL (Royal Caribbean). Sin embargo, una alternativa menos riesgosa, es comprar varias acciones de cruceros que sean representativas del mercado: RCL (Royal Caribbean), CCL (Carnival Cruises), NCLH (Norwegian Cruises). De esta manera, estamos mitigando el riesgo de una unica empresa.
Supongamos que queremos invertir en acciones de Brazil, porque nos parece que el pais tiene mucho potencial de convertirse en un mercado del primer mundo. En este caso, podríamos comprar las empresas mas representativas de Brazil, como Vale, Banco Bradesco, Petrobras o Banco Itaú, y asi sucesivamente (por ej, 10 empresas). Si bien estaríamos diversificados, hay un instrumento mas apropiado para eso que es un ETF como el EWZ, una pseudo-acción, que esta compuesta por cientos de las empresas mas grandes de Brazil. De esta manera, no solo diversificamos muchísimo mas (prácticamente la perdida es nula si una empresa quiebra), sino que la gestión es mas sencilla al ser un único activo.
En todos los casos estamos reduciendo riesgo a cambio de retornos menos volátiles, y por ende sacrificando situaciones de muy altos retornos pero también eliminando situaciones de grandes perdidas (ej, una empresa quiebra). Un concepto muy importante asociado a la diversificación, es la correlación. La correlación es una medida estadística de que tan similar es el movimiento de una variable con respecto a otra. Va desde -1 que significa correlación perfecta inversa (ej, cuando uno sube en un 5%, el otro baja en 5%), 0 que significa que no hay correlación y 1 que significa correlación perfecta (ej, cuando uno sube 5%, el otro sube 5%). Cuanto mas correlacionados están dos instrumentos, menos diversificación obtenemos al combinarlos y viceversa. Esto quiere decir que si tenemos una cartera con 50% de un instrumento A y 50% de otro instrumento B, el nivel de diversificación real que vamos a tener, va a depender de la correlación entre A y B. Si están perfectamente correlacionados, la diversificación es nula. En cambio, si su correlación es 0 o menor, el beneficio es mucho mayor. Si volvemos a nuestro ejemplo de los cruceros, si bien estamos diversificando el riesgo de una empresa, no estamos diversificando el riesgo del sector (esto es a proposito), donde todas las acciones relacionadas con cruceros tienen alta correlación, ni tampoco estamos diversificando el riesgo del mercado, ya que ninguna empresa esta aislada y todas las acciones dependen entre si: para construir un crucero necesito materiales para fabricarlo, necesito contratar gente, necesito capital y prestamos, necesito que la gente tenga plata y este dispuesta a gastarla en cruceros, y un gran etcétera.
Armando un portfolio (cartera) acorde a nuestros objetivos
Una vez que tenemos nuestras posibles inversiones, vamos a agarrar nuestro capital y decidir como distribuirlo. Nuestra cartera puede tener un mix de inversiones de distintos horizontes, en distintos instrumentos, con distintos niveles de riesgo y porcentajes acordes. Es muy importante tener en cuenta el nivel de riesgo de nuestra cartera en total, viendo los niveles de correlación entre los activos que tenemos. Por ejemplo, es muy común incorporar una parte de nuestra cartera en cash o en renta fija de bajo riesgo, para tener baja correlación con las acciones o correlación inversa en el caso de los bonos. Esto se debe a que cuando las acciones caen, los inversores aversos al riesgo, suelen vender y comprar bonos. Una teoria muy usada para aprender sobre el análisis de portfolios es el modelo CAPM, que no voy a profundizar aca pero les dejo la punta para investigar si quieren darle un enfoque mas cuantitativo a la diversificación de la cartera. Cabe aclarar que es un modelo anticuado (el primer modelo de hecho) pero no es menos util. El armado de portfolios es toda una ciencia y se estudia bajo lo que se llama MPT (Modern Portfolio Theory).
Como evaluar las decisiones de inversion
Repitan conmigo: para evaluar que tan buena o mala fue una inversion tiene tanto o mas peso el proceso de decision al ingresar y al salir de la inversion, que el resultado (retorno) de la misma. Estamos intentando evitar dos escenarios, que son MUY problemáticos para los inversores y tenemos que tratar de identificarlos a toda costa:
Una inversion nos puede salir bien, aunque hayamos hecho todo mal. Esto se suele resumir en el dicho popular "todos somos genios cuando la bolsa esta subiendo".
Una inversion nos puede salir mal, aunque hayamos hecho todo bien. Esto se debe a que en inversiones de riesgo, lo que estamos haciendo es tratando de manejar riesgos y retornos, pero no controlamos cuales de los eventos terminan sucediendo en la practica.
En el primer caso, el problema es que probablemente lleguemos a conclusiones incorrectas, reforzando nuestro esquema de decision erróneo, y en algún momento nos llevemos una sorpresa desagradable. Mientras que en el segundo caso, el problema es que probablemente nos desalentemos y dejemos de invertir aunque íbamos por el camino correcto. Vamos con un ejemplo de cada uno:
"Me gustan las películas de Disney, voy a comprar unas acciones". A la semana, Disney lanza una serie nueva que tiene mucho potencial y la acción sube 10%. Naturalmente, al ver esta ganancia en el corto plazo, nos olvidamos que nos metimos en Disney por cuestiones marketineras en vez de por cuestiones de análisis serio de la empresa, y nos creemos que somos unos capos. "Claro, era obvio que iba a subir". Satisfechos con el resultado, seguimos con nuestra metodologia: "El futuro son los autos eléctricos, yo me mando y compro Tesla, no puede fallar". Al dia siguiente, Elon Musk twittea que van a abandonar las operaciones en China por nuevas tarifas impuestas por el gobierno Chino y la acción cae 20% en un dia. En pánico, vendemos todo y no entendemos que pasó. "El mercado es una timba", gritamos, acompañado de varios insultos, y juramos nunca mas invertir nuestro dinero mientras vamos a la cueva de confianza a pagar un tremendo sobreprecio por el dolar blue.
"Analicé todos los balances recientes de Apple. La empresa tiene números sólidos y grandes proyectos. Las perspectivas de crecimiento, tanto desde los fundamentals como desde el consenso del mercado en los precios (gráficos) son excelentes. Validé mis análisis contra otros análisis de varias fuentes, enriqueciendo mis hipótesis y validando aún mas mis proyecciones. Acordemente, voy a poner una parte importante de mi capital en acciones de AAPL". Al mes, cae un avión en el medio de la asamblea de inversores matando a todos los presentes de la junta directiva, incluido el CEO y a Warren Buffet que pasaba por ahí cerca. La acción colapsa -30% al dia siguiente. Frustrados por semejante baja inesperado, vendemos nuestra posición. "El mercado es una timba", gritamos, acompañado de varios insultos, y juramos nunca mas invertir nuestro dinero mientras vamos a la cueva de confianza a pagar un tremendo sobreprecio por el dolar blue.
Esto no quiere decir que no debemos evaluar una inversion sobre la marcha y post cierre de la misma. Muchas veces podemos aprender cosas útiles. Pero el proceso de aprendizaje tiene que estar atado al proceso de toma de decisiones y de gestión de riesgo, no de intentar predecir eventos aleatorios. Después de todo, la gestión de riesgo es justamente eso: intentar predecir qué eventos aleatorios, fuera de nuestro control, se pueden dar y con que probabilidad, y no si se van a dar o no y cuando.
Recomiendo seguir con este curso para intentar determinar que perfil de inversión va mas de acuerdo con nuestra capacidad, tiempo y objetivos. Una vez que tengamos claro estos principios, el siguiente paso sería familiarizarnos con la mecánica de la operación en el mercado y los distintos instrumentos. Espero que les haya servido y cualquier comentario, duda, cosa me avisan en los comentarios. Mucha suerte en este camino que recién empieza ;)
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Eth 2.0 vs Polkadot and other musings by a fundamental investor
Spent about two hours on this post and I decided it would help the community if I made it more visible. Comment was made as a response to this
I’m trying to avoid falling into a maximalist mindset over time. This isn’t a 100% ETH question, but I’m trying to stay educated about emerging tech. Can someone help me see the downsides of diversifying into DOTs? I know Polkadot is more centralized, VC backed, and generally against our ethos here. On chain governance might introduce some unknown risks. What else am I missing? I see a bunch of posts about how Ethereum and Polkadot can thrive together, but are they not both L1 competitors?
What else am I missing?
The upsides. Most of the guys responding to you here are full Eth maxis who drank the Parity is bad koolaid. They are married to their investment and basically emotional / tribal in an area where you should have a cool head. Sure, you might get more upvotes on Reddit if you do and say what the crowd wants, but do you want upvotes and fleeting validation or do you want returns on your investment? Do you want to be these guys or do you want to be the shareholder making bank off of those guys? Disclaimer: I'm both an Eth whale and a Dot whale, and have been in crypto for close to a decade now. I originally bought ether sub $10 after researching it for at least a thousand hours. Rode to $1500 and down to $60. Iron hands - my intent has always been to reconsider my Eth position after proof of stake is out. I invested in the 2017 Dot public sale with the plan of flipping profits back to Eth but keeping Dots looks like the right short and long term play now. I am not a trader, I just take a deep tech dive every couple of years and invest in fundamentals. Now as for your concerns:
I know Polkadot is more centralized
The sad truth is that the market doesn't really care about this. At all. There is no real statistic to show at what point a coin is "decentralized" or "too centralized". For example, bitcoin has been completely taken over by Chinese mining farms for about five years now. Last I checked, they control above 85% of the hashing power, they just spread it among different mining pools to make it look decentralized. They have had the ability to fake or block transactions for all this time but it has never been in their best interest to do so: messing with bitcoin in that way would crash its price, therefore their bitcoin holdings, their mining equipment, and their company stock (some of them worth billions) would evaporate. So they won't do it due to economics, but not because they can't. That is the major point I want to get across; originally Bitcoin couldn't be messed with because it was decentralized, but now Bitcoin is centralized but it's still not messed with due to economics. It is basically ChinaCoin at this point, but the market doesn't care, and it still enjoys over 50% of the total crypto market cap. So how does this relate to Polkadot? Well fortunately most chains - Ethereum included - are working towards proof of stake. This is obviously better for the environment, but it also has a massive benefit for token holders. If a hostile party wanted to take over a proof of stake chain they'd have to buy up a massive share of the network. The moment they force through a malicious transaction a proof of stake blockchain has the option to fork them off. It would be messy for a few days, but by the end of the week the hostile party would have a large amount of now worthless tokens, and the proof of stake community would have moved on to a version of the blockchain where the hostile party's tokens have been slashed to zero. So not only does the market not care about centralization (Bitcoin example), but proof of stake makes token holders even safer. That being said, Polkadot's "centralization" is not that far off to Ethereum. The Web3 foundation kept 30% of the Dots while the Ethereum Foundation kept 17%. There are whales in Polkadot but Ethereum has them too - 40% of all genesis Ether went to 100 wallets, and many suspect that the original Ethereum ICO was sybiled to make it look more popular and decentralized than it really was. But you don't really care about that do you? Neither do I. Whales are a fact of life.
VCs are part of the crypto game now. There is no way to get rid of them, and there is no real reason why you should want to get rid of them. They put their capital at risk (same as you and me) and seek returns on their investment (same as you and me). They are both in Polkadot and Ethereum, and have been for years now. I have no issue with them as long as they don't play around with insider information, but that is another topic. To be honest, I would be worried if VCs did not endorse chains I'm researching, but maybe that's because my investing style isn't chasing hype and buying SUSHI style tokens from anonymous (at the time) developers. That's just playing hot potato. But hey, some people are good at that. As to the amount of wallets that participated in the Polkadot ICO: a little known fact is that more individual wallets participated in Polkadot's ICO than Ethereum's, even though Polkadot never marketed their ICO rounds due to regulatory reasons.
generally against our ethos here
Kool aid. Some guy that works(ed?) at Parity (who employs what, 200+ people?) correctly said that Ethereum is losing its tech lead and that offended the Ethereum hivemind. Oh no. So controversial. I'm so personally hurt by that. Some guy that has been working for free on Ethereum basically forever correctly said that Polkadot is taking the blockchain tech crown. Do we A) Reflect on why he said that? or B) Rally the mob to chase him off?
Also Parity locked their funds (and about 500+ other wallets not owned by them) and proposed a solution to recover them. When the community voted no they backed off and did not fork the chain, even if they had the influence to do so. For some reason this subreddit hates them for that, even if Parity did the 100% moral thing to do. Remember, 500+ other teams or people had their funds locked, so Parity was morally bound to try its best to recover them. Its just lame drama to be honest. Nothing to do with ethos, everything to do with emotional tribalism. Now for the missing upsides (I'll also respond to random fragments scattered in the thread):
This isn’t a 100% ETH question, but I’m trying to stay educated about emerging tech.
A good quick intro to Eth's tech vs Polkadot's tech can be found on this thread, especially this reply. That thread is basically mandatory reading if you care about your investment. Eth 2.0's features will not really kick in for end users until about 2023. That means every dapp (except DeFI, where the fees make sense due to returns and is leading the fee market) who built on Eth's layer 1 are dead for three years. Remember the trading card games... Gods Unchained? How many players do you think are going to buy and sell cards when the transaction fee is worth more than the cards? All that development is now practically worthless until it can migrate to its own shard. This story repeats for hundreds of other dapp teams who's projects are now priced out for three years. So now they either have to migrate to a one of the many unpopulated L2 options (which have their own list of problems and risks, but that's another topic) or they look for another platform, preferably one interoperable with Ethereum. Hence Polkadot's massive growth in developer activity. If you check out https://polkaproject.com/ you'll see 205 projects listed at the time of this post. About a week ago they had 202 listed. That means about one team migrated from another tech stack to build on Polkadot every two days, and trust me, many more will come in when parachains are finally activated, and it will be a complete no brainer when Polkadot 2.0 is released. Another huge upside for Polkadot is the Initial Parachain Offerings. Polkadot's version of ICOs. The biggest difference is that you can vote for parachains using your Dots to bind them to the relay chain, and you get some of the parachain's tokens in exchange. After a certain amount of time you get your Dots back. The tokenomics here are impressive: Dots are locked (reduced supply) instead of sold (sell pressure) and you still earn your staking rewards. There's no risk of scammers running away with your Ether and the governance mechanism allows for the community to defund incompetent devs who did not deliver what was promised.
Wouldn’t an ETH shard on Polkadot gain a bunch of scaling benefits that we won’t see natively for a couple years?
Yes. That is correct. Both Edgeware and Moonbeam are EVM compatible. And if the original dapp teams don't migrate their projects someone else will fork them, exactly like SUSHI did to Uniswap, and how Acala is doing to MakerDao.
Although realistically Ethereum has a 5 yr headstart and devs haven't slowed down at all
Just because it's "EVM Compatible" doesn't mean you can just plug Ethereum into Polkadot or vica versa, it just means they both understand Ethereum bytecode and you can potentially copy/paste contracts from Ethereum to Polkadot, but you'd still need to add a "bridge" between the 2 chains, so it adds additional complexity and extra steps compared to using any of the existing L2 scaling solutions
That only applies of you are thinking from an Eth maximalist perspective. But if you think from Polkadot's side, why would you need to use the bridge back to Ethereum at all? Everything will be seamless, cheaper, and quicker once the ecosystem starts to flourish.
I see a bunch of posts about how Ethereum and Polkadot can thrive together, but are they not both L1 competitors?
They are competitors. Both have their strategies, and both have their strengths (tech vs time on the market) but they are clearly competing in my eyes. Which is a good thing, Apple and Samsung competing in the cell phone market just leads to more innovation for consumers. You can still invest in both if you like. Edit - link to post and the rest of the conversation: https://www.reddit.com/ethfinance/comments/iooew6/daily_general_discussion_september_8_2020/g4h5yyq/ Edit 2 - one day later PolkaProject count is 210. Devs are getting the hint :)
TL;DR: Wakey wakey, give a crap about freedom, or accept the consequences. Another Sunday afternoon, another news item about Monero being delisted from a centralized exchange, this time in Australia. Last year it was OKEx and others. Just a few days ago it was Coinspot. It is sort of an open secret that Coinbase is not listing Monero due to external pressures. Today we're hit with news that Kraken will be ceasing Monero trading for AU residents. And you will also recall that Japan and South Korea have made similar moves. It's a near impossibility with me, especially when powered by caffeine, which is most definitely the case today, but I will try to make this brief, sweet and to the point. These are not isolated incidents. There is an International Organization™ in particular orchestrating, behind the scenes, the policies and requirements that financial institutions (crypto exchanges have since joined that category for this purpose) must follow, or else. Here is what bothers me about this. Have you been consulted about this? Anyone you know? Heard of it in the news? Yeah, me neither. You have to know where to look to find some information on what they would like to see happening (we'll get to that in a moment), and often you have to read PDFs with dozens of pages to find the good stuff too. I will leave that as an exercise to the reader. Suffice to say, I have been digging a bit deeper myself, and what I found shocked me. FATF wants nothing less than the complete elimination of anonymity and privacy in financial affairs, even going so far as to consider BANNING peer to peer transactions so that people are forced to interact with each other through exchanges, where data collection is more reliable and certain, effectively obliterating one of the major selling points of cryptocurrency (p2p-ness) with complete disregard for the millions of people who are already onboard with the vision. No privacy and no anonymity, imagine that. Many of you probably already use plastic cards for everything, day in day out, and don't think too much about this stuff. But the fact that an international organization that you have little to zero democratic control over is planning to get rid of class of financial tools that 99.99999% of people don't even realize exists yet should give you pause for concern. The tools I speak of are, of course, digital cash-like cryptocurrencies like Monero. I would like you to PAUSE, daydream a bit, visualize and imagine, what a world without zero financial privacy/anonymity would look like. Consider, this has certainly not been the case in human history, ever -- yes, even today. Today most of you still have cash as a choice. But what happens when that goes out of the window, and the only options are CBDCs, CorporateCoins, and transparent cryptocurrency ? Needless to say, both in the case of CorporateCoins and CBDCs, there will be little to none privacy/anonymity, and even if there was (in the case of CorporateCoin), the state would obviously bully its way into it and force them to do otherwise (without being asked to do so, of course). So, imagine that world. Every donation you make. Every $50 transfer to a friend or family member. Every item you buy. Every service you purchase. Every money you send to help a friend you. All of it stored, forever, to be accessed later at will for whatever reasons. Would you make the same choices, knowing that your entire financial life is entirely exposed to powerful organizations of which you likely know very little about and almost certainly can hardly ever influence at all? Does that seem like a good recipe for a free society?
The people at the top either don't care about the consequences of what they're imposing worldwide, or they don't understand. Sounds highly concerning to me either way - It comes down to either bullying or ignorance. Would you ever have truly heart-to-heart conversations if you knew your worst enemy was potentially watching and recording everything? Could you make passionate love knowing hundreds of strangers are analyzing your every move? Can you be spontaneous knowing you are being recorded? What if you did not have a choice in those matters ?! What if someone has already decided for you, your friends, your family, your neighbors, your country, that you are all potential criminals and the thing to do is to keep records on everyone, just in case ? Newsflash: It already happened. It's been happening for awhile, and it seems to be picking up pace; the technology that was going to liberate us, slowly enslaving us instead -- because the general public largely does not understand the issues at hand, while the elite certainly does, and boy oh boy, are they thrilled with the technological advancements that help them cement their power. What do I mean by cement? Imagine trying to kick-start civil rights in a place where every social map is known, everything a person is interested in is known, every transaction they make is known, every website they have visited is known, every time they step on the street, an AI-powered camera automatically identifies them and tracks their movement. You would be unable to organize. To exchange value. To discuss behind curtains, so to speak. You would not have any privacy, and you would not have any anonymity. Could you be free under these circumstances?
It's been a long road towards more freedom, but nowdays it is disappearing fast. Stopping to consider the implications is a most pressing issue. They want Monero(-like tools) GONE because Monero ACTUALLY would change the paradigm. By the time they are done with their "recommendations" (which really mean: comply, or else...), mark my words, there will be a name behind every Bitcoin address in some centralized database, query-able by partners in deciding who can and cannot use the system. Merchants will be forced to perform chain analysis and by law they will be compelled to reject/refund/report transactions coming from "anonymous clusters" (addresses that are not known to have an identity tied to them). This is what the normalization of the lack of privacy has brought us. The possibility was there, and they took it. Of course they did. I repeat, it is no accident that it's not Dogecoin and Nano, Bitcoin or Litecoin being delisted. The star of the show (for better or for worse) is Monero, and that is because it works. It lets you transact anonymously and privately, like cash - why the hell should FATF know that you sent $500 to your mother last week? in fact, why the hell should they know your entire financial history?! When cash goes (and we can be fairly certain that it will be gone; would already be gone if this sort of authoritarian mindset had its way), Monero or tools like Monero, will become the only way to make any transaction outside the eyes of the state. It's not because you have anything (nefarious) to hide. It's not because you're a criminal. Rather, it's because to accept anything else is to bow to tyranny. It's your choice to make - are you meekly going to accept that in perhaps less than a decade there will be zero privacy and anonymity in financial matters, or are you going to fight back? Will you organize, campaign, email, discuss, spread awareness? Will you spend precious summer Sunday afternoons writing for strangers on the Internet trying to help a few more see the major shit-show we're headed into? Or will you be a good boy and do what you're told? Tomorrow, by the way - if left unchallenged - it won't just be financial privacy that disappears. One of the most prominent examples in the introductory part of this post (Australia) has already made quite clear that they don't like the fact that people can hide things from them (encryption). In other words, either they know about it (and archive it forever), or you better let them know. After all, a threat - any threat! - could be lurking somewhere in that encrypted data. And you have nothing to hide anyway, yes? This is a cryptocurrency sub though so let's not steer too far from that. It is important to remember that ultimately the issue is the same though - totalitarian control over everyone's life; mass-surveillance, and the ability to rewind and see someone's entire life exposed for the benefit of the state. Their actions are letting you know what really works and what really threatens the status quo. That is useful information. If you care at all about the freedom and privacy of your future self, your friends and family, children present or future, I think you would do well to think long and hard about these issues. Because the direction assumed by the most prominent regulators seems to be headed in a uniform direction - that is no surprise, seeing as how they meet with each other. You have to ask yourself though, is this for your benefit, your safety? Or is it to keep the statuo quo? How would the world be different if human beings - regardless of color, nationality, age, sexual orientation, political beliefs- with an Internet connection could freely exchange value privately and anonymously (the way we can still communicate private and anonymously in most places today - though not so in authoritarian places like China, AND THAT IS NOT A COINCIDENCE)? It would be instant, like an instant message. It would cost very little. Well, I have news for you: It's already possible, and a growing number of people are realizing this. This tool is called Monero. It exists today, and the cat is out of the bag. The technology will only get better, and more interesting tools may even come along later. In fact, barring mass persecution of open-source developers, that is very likely what is going to happen, as ultrasmart people everywhere congregate in virtual spaces to discuss better ways to do stuff. If we keep losing our right to be left alone until suspected of a crime, life will increasingly come to resemble what the regulator types are - consciously or unconsciously - creating: a Panopticon society. If you don't speak up, then the decision has already been made - and you're probably going to live to regret being complicit in it. Freedom or Tyranny. It's your choice to make. p.s: Yes, totally failed at making this short. I guess it's just not my thing.
From Conspiracy to Fact: An analysis of the COVID-19 Pandemic, Information Control, and the New World Order (Appendix includes hundreds of citations) - PART 1
UPDATE: This article is now available as a printable PDF with embedded hyperlinks for navigation through sources. This link will be valid thru July 9: https://ufile.io/4mpkg4x6
PLEASE NOTE: This article may be updated periodically with new information and links as they become available. All referenced information and a whole lot more is indexed and linked in the relatedappendix posts.Please feel free to crosspost, share, and take from my ideas to build your own. Namaste. Part 1 | Part 2 | Appendix A | Appendix B Hello. My name is Chris. I am nobody, really. An average citizen. I am an overweight 42 year old white male from the Midwestern suburbs of the US who has been fortunate enough to live a pretty comfortable life. I used to be a freelance graphic designer with a focus on small businesses, but I'm coming to terms with the fact that that career and part of my life is more than likely over in light of current events. Oh well, it was fun while it lasted. I've always been concerned about social injustice and tried to stay politically informed, even dabbling in some activism here and there. At times I've stepped away from paying attention for my own mental health, or due to laziness, defeatism, whatever. But I've never stopped caring, or trying, to fight the good fight and do the right thing. The news recently has of course swept us all up, and touched all our lives in some way or another. The world has never seen anything like the "Coronavirus Pandemic," and it's clear that our society will be changed forever when we finally come out the other end of this mess. But I've had the luxury of time recently, and in reading the news about things that were going on, I couldn't help but notice the patterns, and that a lot of stuff didn't exactly make sense. So, here we go, with the "conspiracy theory." I hate that term, because although it's technically accurate, it's been demonized and weaponized by the media and society at large to take on a bad connotation. Tinfoil hats, alien abductions, crazy people muttering to themselves, etc. You've no doubt got a lot of images in your mind of a conspiracy theorist. And make no mistake, what I'm going to tell you here is all currently very popular conspiracy theory. However, I think that by removing opinions and conjecture from it, and focusing on facts and things that have already happened, I can present this huge amount of overwhelming, disparate information in a way that makes it less a "theory" and more a "research project." And so that is how I have approached this. I have spent the last week doing little else besides reading every news and opinion article I could find, saving and organizing hundreds of links, and assembling a coherent, logical outline to organize and present these theories, and more importantly, facts. There are a lot of less-than-reputable sites and publications out there, and I have tried when at all possible to provide sources from verifiable news sites, with a wide range of slants and focuses, to illustrate that what is happening is not part of any one particular political agenda. I hope that you take the time to check the links, really look into the information presented here, and form your own opinions. Please do not just take my word for it. To that end, there are also a few links mixed in that are labeled as having come from conspiracy. These are well-written and well-reasoned posts from other concerned citizens that I think are worth reading, and relevant to the discussion here. One last thing - If you are new to most of these ideas, the information presented here is more than likely going to seem overwhelming at first. I encourage you now, and always, to take mental health breaks for yourself, and put down your phone or turn off your computer. The information will be here when you come back. And as you'll soon understand, what is happening is an unstoppable tide, truly a force of nature at this point, and there is nothing you can do to fight it, so try your hardest to relax, put on some chill music, hug your dog, and most of all... BREATHE. - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - If you start researching conspiracy theory, you're going to find a lot of information. Some much better or worse presented than others, and some much more plausible or unbelievable than others. Despite the seeming ridiculousness of some things you might read, I encourage you to always approach new information with an open mind. That said though, I have one main principle that guides all my beliefs about conspiracy theories, and that is the "Filter of Likelihood." Essentially, you have to ask yourself how possible, how likely, and how feasible a piece of information is. Furthermore, you need to ask yourself what the motivation would be. In many cases, it's quite easy to see how something makes a lot of sense based on other known info, whereas some theories seem rather implausible no matter how you look at it. I am interested only in the plausible, and where possible, the already actualized. Additionally, there's a lot to be said, and a lot that has already been written on many of these topics, so I will focus on current events and simple concepts. I will also ask you to open your mind to possibility. Please consider this as you evaluate new information:
Do you believe there are things going on in the world that you don't know about yet?
Do you believe that there is technology and science you've never heard of?
Do you believe that society is progressing at an increasing rate?
Do you believe that as populations grow, we require new societal strategies?
Do you believe that those with power and money want to retain their power and money?
Of course you believe all these things, and none of these are wild or unusual concepts. Rather, these are very basic concepts that apply to everyone, and always have. They are all part of our shared human experience, and undeniable facts of life. Populations grow, societies evolve, technology advances, and the world changes. And most important to our discussion here, people, families, and empires constantly jockey for power and control, while fighting for resources, power, fame, and... MONEY. We all hate TicketMaster, right? Who do they think they are, what the hell is this bullshit "service fee," etc. It's something everyone can get behind. But did you know that TicketMaster willingly cultivates that image? That venues, teams, and artists, in their pursuit of more money, raise fees and then let TicketMaster be the bad guy and take the heat so their reputations remain intact? There are many more people, organizations, and other entities in the world playing that same role for those who really have the money, who really call the shots. And those who call the shots work very hard and spend absolutely unfathomable amounts of money, time, and blood, to make sure that you don't ever realize who's actually taking your money. They do this in the simplest, easiest way. If you simply control information from the top down, and disseminate it when and where you see fit, you can effect great societal change without lifting a finger. Please imagine... really, try to imagine... You just read an article, saw a video, whatever, from a very, very reputable source. And it just informed you that an asteroid was 83% likely to impact the Earth next month. What would you do? What would happen in the world? Hopefully an asteroid will not hit next month, but it's important to really imagine what would happen and why, and how. Because a huge amount of information would be generated and published, people would panic, society would crumble, and the world as you know it would change forever in an instant, the moment you read that headline. Control of information is one of the most powerful tools known to mankind today. A person living in 2020 can easily encounter as much information in a day as someone in Medieval times might have encountered in a lifetime. And it comes at you from all angles, in all forms, non-stop, 24/7. Much like the water in the pipe, the information is always there, and one needs but turn it on. Disseminating the information then becomes a practice all its own, and to be sure, information processing accounts for more than half of the US GDP. And the rate at which it's spread, and way it is handled makes a huge difference in the societal repercussions. So a few different techniques are used:
The "Slow Walk" - If a large, unexpected piece of information is given suddenly, people tend to react poorly and irrationally. Also known as "letting them down easily," this technique restricts the flow of information to prevent the audience from balking or being overwhelmed
The "Steady Drip" - This technique involves keeping your audience subjected to a constant stream of the desired information, so that they become accustomed to it and it becomes "normalized"
The "Firehose" - A deluge of information flying out at full blast, designed to overwhelm the audience so that they cannot focus on anything else
It might be the greatest understatement of all time to say that there has been a lot of information passed around about COVID-19, the "Coronavirus," recently. In fact, there has never been anything like what we are currently experiencing in all of human history, and not by a long shot. And this unprecedented turn of events has caused a lot of people to react in a lot of ways, and say and do a lot of things, for better or for worse. Full disclosure: In particular, if you look up conspiracy theory, you'll see a lot of stuff suggesting that the "Coronavirus is a hoax." (You'll also find a lot of poorly-written rambling) I want to be clear that I DO NOT believe that. I am 100% sure that there is a Coronavirus, that it is making people sick, that a lot of people are dying, and that our medical professionals and many other undervalued workers are overwhelmed, and breaking their backs every day to do their best to keep their friends, families, and loved ones safe. I am extraordinarily grateful for them and admire the resolve and bravery that so many have shown in the face of this disaster. I do not think it is a hoax at all. However, I think that literally everything else that is happening surrounding the "pandemic" is. - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - The Pandemic In the first week of January this year, I got sick. Really sick. I know when I got it and who I got it from, and honestly the exact moment I got it (I only was in proximity of the dude for a few minutes). He had warned me that he was really sick, and I blew it off. I started feeling sick a day or two later, and a day or two after that I felt like I was dying. Fever, chills, aches, extraordinary fatigue. And literal, nonstop, 24/7 coughing. I had every single symptom of what we now know as COVID-19. I commented to anyone who would listen that I didn't recall ever feeling that sick before in my entire life. The most memorable part of it though was that after a couple days, I completely lost my sense of smell and taste. Joked a lot about how you could feed me onions and soap cause I'd have no idea. I try to have a good attitude about being sick. I spent a week sleeping on the couch before I finally went to the doctor. She gave me a Prednisolone steroid pack (which has worked well for me in the past), some Trazodone to knock me out, and Benzonatotate for my cough. As soon as I took the first dose of steroids I started to feel pretty fucking great, and it was more or less a non-issue after that. I spoke to a lot of people about it then and after, and man, I can't tell you how many stories I personally heard from people I know that said the exact same thing. Then I started reading the same story over and over again on Reddit:
We didn't start really hearing about the Coronavirus in the media until the beginning of March, and we didn't hear about the "Pandemic" until just a couple weeks ago. And what a couple weeks it's been since then. But I am quite certain that it's been around for a lot longer and that I, and a lot of other people I know, had it - and DID NOT DIE FROM IT - way back in January. We now know that the first documented case in the US was on January 19th, but that word "documented" is so, so important here. That means that we had identified the virus, developed a test, and tested a person with the symptoms that day. It does NOT mean that was when the virus reached the United States. How sick do you have to be before you take a day off work? Before you go to the doctor? With America's healthcare system or lack thereof, it's almost certain that many people had this virus before we determined what it was, and how infectious it really was. There is also the matter of the statistics of severity vs the regular flu. This is a highly contentious topic and I am no medical expert, and do not wish to make any assertions. However, what I can tell you from my personal experience is this: I had a horrible "flu" in January, got basic medicine, got better. So, either I had the flu, or perhaps I did indeed have the Coronavirus. We will never know because I was never tested. But the important thing is that it doesn't matter. Either I (and many others) had the Coronavirus and it did not kill us (calling into question the severity of the infection) or we just had a bad cold or flu, but it had the exact same symptoms as COVID-19 (calling into question the extent of Coronavirus diagnoses). But logically, one of those two statements is true. Furthermore, the data keeps changing, and I don't mean increasing on a daily basis. I mean up and down, back and forth, it is deadly or maybe it isn't, etc. On January 14 the WHO told you it couldn't spread from human to human. But then on Jan 19 we saw the first case of Coronavirus in the United States. Then it turns out that the Wuhan market outbreak began earlier in December. And then it's an "epidemic," but most people will only get mild symptoms. What are you supposed to believe? And it sure does seem to come at you as a firehose, and it's hard to even think about anything because OHMYGODTHECORONAVIRUS! But let's stop and look a couple basic facts. As a matter of fact, I'm going to let Dr. Sucharit Bhakdi explain this one to you. This is a very informative 10 minute video, watch it: Sucharit Bhakdi - Very clear math showing that the COVID statistics are being manipulated So 80% of people only experience mild symptoms, and we're crashing the economy for this? The statistics aren't any more extreme than many other illnesses we've had over time, and we're crashing the economy for this? It doesn't make sense until you consider that there are other factors besides just the virus at play. Wolfgang Wodard - Explaining how the statistics are being manipulated to cause panic The media, and society at large is inundating you with terrifying information about the Coronavirus. But if it's not as bad as we originally thought, then why? We don't freak out about every illness that comes along, and we've certainly never in the history of civilization had over 1/3 of the global population locked down under mandatory quarantine. And then there's the debate about where the virus came from. We believe it came from a meat market in China, under unsanitary conditions. The science behind a coronavirus making the leap from one species to another is well-established and researched, and it is a very likely scenario. There are also conspiracy theories that state that China released it on its people intentionally, or even that the US military released it in China. Again, we will never know exactly where this Coronavirus came from. It may be natural, it may be man made, and there are very plausible paths for both. I don't know what to believe myself. So here I ask you to make your own judgement based on likelihood. What we do know though is that the state of the world this virus has been unleashed on has played a major factor in its spread. In 1950 the global population was 2.5 billion, and that has exploded to almost 8 billion people in 2020. As a matter of fact, population growth has been exponential since about the time of the Industrial Revolution. With all these people on the planet there are sure to be many disagreements and conflicts, and there indeed have been. As a matter of fact, 2019 saw global protests on an unprecedented scale, in Hong Kong, France, Syria, and many other countries. Citizens have literally been fighting police and military with rocks, clubs, arrows, and molotov cocktails. Did you know that? Despite my seeing headlines and pictures every day of the riots in Hong Kong, I have been shocked to learn that multiple of my close friends, intelligent and aware people, had no knowledge whatsoever of the protests even existing. But that is far from a coincidence; rather, it is quite by design. - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Billionaires and Coincidences Another major talking point over the last 5 to 10 years has been the "1%" - the handful of super-rich individuals who posess and control the vast majority of the Earth's wealth and resources. Where it used to just be a numerical term, "Billionaire" is now a dirty word, and one of the nastiest. We all hate billionaires. They are evil, and profit off the exploitation of the rest of the world. The "Illuminati" we call them, in pursuit of a "New World Order." Crazy stuff, right? Mysterious symbols and people in black robes doing nefarious things in secret meetings, and running the world from behind the scenes. We love the Illuminati, it's a huge pop culture thing now. The subject of endless speculation, they are made fun of in the media, movies, and now Taco Bell commercials. It's so far fetched it could never really be true. And the fact that you think that is by design as well. So, we don't know where the Coronavirus came from, but it's certainly here, and there are lot of other things unfolding in the world around it. Many different current events from all different places and fields of study. Some of it seems a little too coincidental. It is certainly very coincidental that this economically destructive Coronavirus entered the world right as there were global uprisings, protests in the street, and a growing public hatred for billionaires. Well, here are a few other coincidences: Hundreds of CEOs of major companies stepped down from their positions in recent months. Multiple US Senators sold stock right before the market crashed. Even the boss of the New York Stock Exchange sold his own stock right before the crash. Did they know something they weren't telling us? Here's another coincidence. In 2010, The Rockefeller Foundation published a selection of future-predicting scenarios in the name of "exploring the ways that technology and development could co-evolve." One of these four scenarios, entitled "Lock Step," eerily predicts a global viral pandemic and the resulting hypothetical consequences, which almost exactly mirrors the COVID-19 pandemic we are in the midst of today. Also coincidental: The first case of COVID-19 was diagnosed in China on November 17th, 2019. Literally one month earlier, The Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security in partnership with the World Economic Forum and the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation hosted Event 201, a high-level pandemic exercise on October 18, 2019, in New York, NY. In this exercise, they discuss the potential implications and consequences of a novel Coronavirus, including an economic crash, martial law, and of particular interest, the control of information. (You can view some published highlights here) The World Economic Forum is comprised of the richest of the rich. The 1%. The Billionaires. CEO's, politicians, business owners, and many other powerful and influential figures. They meet regularly to discuss topics of global concern, and strongly control the dissemination of information. And of primary concern to many of them is maintaining their wealth and power in a rapidly-changing world. And finally, here's one more coincidence: At the exact same time as the Event 201 exercise, The World Military Games was held in Wuhan, China, Oct 18-27, 2019. It was the largest military sports event ever to be held in China, with nearly 10,000 athletes from over 100 countries competing in 27 sports. Wuhan China was, as we now believe, the source of our current global COVID-19 outbreak. Whether you think it is a "conspiracy" or not, that is all certainly coincidental, to say the least. - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - "Why didn't I hear about any of this?" That's an excellent question, and one that likely has multiple answers. For starters, how much do you really pay attention? Where do you get your news from? Do you research things you hear or just accept them on hearsay? Critical thinking skills are paramount in making sense of the chaos unfolding all around us. As I mentioned before, I can tell you that I personally know multiple people who had no clue whatsoever about the riots in Hong Kong last year. As you read this, you may be one of them. And it may seem like something that is happening far away, and "could never happen here." Or you may have been aware of it but just that it was happening. But please, consider for a moment: millions of average citizens risked their lives and safety in the streets of Hong Kong for months on end, fighting police and military, and transforming the city they lived in into a warzone. WHY? Why would people do something like that? Regardless of their motivations, that many people were banding together to fight for something they believed in. And that is worth considering. It's not really your fault though that you may not catch wind of all this news. The "mainstream media" that you hear about all the time deliberately controls information - downplaying threats and overreacting to silly things - in order to make sure that you hear the version of the news that they want you to hear. Did you know that only 6 corporations control 90% of the media In America? That number is reduced from 50 companies in the 80's. And literally all the news you see on TV, at the very least, is 100% owned and controlled by these companies. Lately, distrust is growing for cable news networks, and many people turn to their local hometown station for trusted news. The problem with that though is that your hometown station is probably owned by Sinclair Media, one of the most powerful broadcast networks in the country that you've never heard of. Please watch this very brief video, illustrating the chokehold that Sinclair Media maintains over your nightly local news broadcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hWLjYJ4BzvI Of course, not every piece of news is pre-programmed but a lot is. The real news is out there, but sometimes you have to look a little deeper than the infographics on TV news. Even if information is being directed from the top down, the boots on the ground tend to be passionate people with a variety of interests and agendas, and they are still doing their best to do real journalism despite corporate oversight. Think of those who are directing the information as steering an impossibly massive ship with a rudder. You can slowly adjust the course of direction, however it is slow to react. If you want to stop, you have to start thinking about stopping wayyy ahead of time. And similarly, once it gets underway, it is then influenced by an inertia all its own. Micro controls and adjustments aren't really possible. Our society is this giant ship. There are 8 billion people on this earth - that is 8000 million. An incomprehensible number that grows rapidly every day. As civilization grows and advances, so does our medicine, our technology, our cultural norms. These are all natural processes that are necessary to manage an increasing number of societies all around the globe. And many of the advances we're making have exciting potential benefits for humanity, although as with all tools, they also inherently possess the potential for abuse. Here are some other things happening in society right now, some you may be aware of and many you may not:
RealID - The Real ID law requires people to show security-enhanced IDs to pass through airport security checkpoints or to enter certain federal facilities.
Traffic Cameras - Most people know that there are traffic cameras in an increasing number of areas, some of which can assess your speed and issue you a ticket automatically.
Automation Everywhere - Beyond assembly lines, robots are continually performing more types of tasks from ever more companies, replacing human employees at an increasing rate.
Automated Trucks - Autonomous trucks are coming soon that can see forward over a half mile, farther than any other autonomous system in the world, and run during the day, the night and even in the rain.
Global Satellite Internet - Elon Musk's SpaceX recently launched its fourth batch of internet-beaming satellites, as the company builds a broadband internet business by deploying thousands of satellites into orbit
Bitcoin and Cryptocurrency - As digital payments become more and more prevalent, digital currency uses cryptography to secure and verify transactions as well as to control the creation of new units of a particular cryptocurrency.
Voluntary Nanochipping - People are having microchips implanted into their bodies so that they don't need to carry key cards, IDs, and even train tickets.
Programmable Viruses - As antibiotic-resistant bacteria becomes a greater problem, viruses are being engineered to fight the bacteria in targeted ways
Facial Recognition Technology - Airports are using facial-recognition cameras to confirm passenger identity. Mobile phone makers are using face recognition for biometric security. Retailers are using it to prevent violence and crime, and for advertising.
Thermal Scanners - Airports, casinos, and grocery stores are screening passengers for sickness. In China, this data is being used to control traffic.
ID2020 - Microsoft co-founder Bill Gates is developing human-implantable capsules that have ‘digital certificates’ which can contain financial data, medical records, tracking tech, and more.
There is an interesting chicken or egg relationship between science fiction and real world science. Sci-fi writers are inspired by the real science of the day, then they apply their creativity to imagine what might be in the future. Young scientists encounter these fantastical ideas and think they are worth pursuing, and then set about to make them a reality, and the cycle continues. Futuristic concepts are then preempted and introduced through the media to the conscious mind, as we include them in books, movies, TV, video games, and more. Eventually we start seeing headlines of these new technologies and developments happening in other places, usually Japan and China first due to their prevalence in the industrial and technological sectors of our global economy. - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
When a user navigates from Google to a piece of content Google has recommended (or when a user clicks on a shared cached AMP link), they are, unwittingly, remaining within Google’s ecosystem and the publisher’s domain is obscured by the google.com/amp prefix. To work around this Google introduced Signed HTTP Exchanges ([Draft], , ), a web-standard that allows the browser to display the original site's URL, instead of the actual one (the one with the google.com/prefix). This would solve the original issue, but while doing so it introduced new ones (e.g. it obfuscates the fact that they're delivering the AMP page you're visiting). Interestingly enough, Google's Chrome already has support for this technology, but parties not involved with AMP are not so enthusiastic: Mozilla has deemed it a harmful web standard, and Apple has taken a similar stance.
Google’s entire business model is about collecting as much personal data as possible, AMP is just another tool to do so. As described in Google’s Support article:
“When you use the Google AMP Viewer, Google and the publisher that made the AMP page may each collect data about you.”
The controversies with non-cached AMP pages To be clear, the above flaws are only with AMP pages cached by Google (or another party like Bing or Cloudflare) but there are also plenty of pages simply utilizing the AMP framework, recognized by URLs such as bbc.com/news/amp/. However, these are also problematic, mainly because there's only a small performance improvement when AMP pages aren't cached and AMP pages tend to be less feature-rich and less diverse than their originals. And in some edge cases, it breaks stuff. One could argue that the more popular the AMP framework becomes, the more AMP threatens the open web. That said, it should be clear that the biggest problem lies with the cached AMP pages. AMP is open source, but that doesn't make it holy. Or as Ferdy Christant puts it quite nicely in his blog:
Google’s main defense is that AMP is open source. Which isn’t just a weak defense, it’s no defense at all. I can open source a plan for genocide. The term “open source” is meaningless if the thing that is open source is harmful.
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There have been many recent posts about the blackmail email scam, so I have written this post and will keep it stickied until the posts about the scam die down. If you are reading this because you have received one of these emails and you are worried, you can stop worrying. The blackmail email scam is a spam campaign that is sent out to thousands of addresses at a time. In al cases, the threats are lies and you do not have anything to worry about. In many cases, the emails will contain information about you such as your name, part or all of your phone number, and your password.The emails may also look like they were sent from your own email address. The data is gathered from data breaches, and if the email looks like it came from your account that is due to email spoofing. You can use the service Have I Been Pwned? to see if you are in any publicly known data breaches. If you receive an email that contains a password that you currently use, you should immediately change that. Current recommended password guidelines say that you should use a different, complex password for every account. You can generate and save passwords using a password manager for convenience. You should also be using two factor authentication using an app like Google Authenticator instead of receiving codes through SMS. Here are some news articles about this scam. Here is a story from Brian Krebs, and here is a story from the New York Times. Below are a few examples, but if you receive an email that is similar but not the same as the examples you see, that does not matter and does not mean that the email is real. The spammers constantly switch up their templates in order to bypass spam filters, so it's normal to receive an email that hasn't yet been posted online. Hey there So I am the hacker who cracked your email address and device a few weeks back. You typed in your pwd on one of the sites you visited, and I intercepted that. Here is your password from (redacted) upon time of compromise: (redacted) Obviously you can can change it, or even already changed it. However it won't really matter, my malware modified it every time. Do not really try to contact me personally or find me. Via your email, I uploaded harmful code to your Operation System. I saved your entire contacts together with buddies, fellow workers, loved ones along with a entire history of visits to the World wide web resources. Also I set up a Virus on your system. You aren't my only target, I generally lock computers and ask for a ransom. But I was hit by the web pages of romantic material that you normally stop by. I am in shock of your own fantasies! I have never ever noticed anything at all like this! Consequently, when you had enjoyment on piquant web-sites (you know what I am talking about!) I made screenshot with utilizing my program from your camera of yours device. There after, I put together them to the content of the currently viewed site. There will certainly be giggling when I send these pics to your connections! Nevertheless I am certain you do not need this. Therefore, I expect to have payment from you for my silence. I feel $859 is an satisfactory price for this! Pay with Bitcoin. My Bitcoin wallet is xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx If you do not really understand how to do this - submit in to Google 'how to transfer money to the bitcoin wallet'. It is easy. Immediately after getting the given amount, all your files will be right away destroyed automatically. My computer virus will also get rid of itself through your operating-system. My Trojan viruses have auto alert, so I know when this specific e mail is read. I give you 2 days (48 hours) to make a payment. If this does not occur - just about all your associates will get outrageous pictures from your darkish secret life and your system will be blocked as well after two days. Do not end up being foolish! Police or buddies won't support you for sure ... P.S I can provide you with recommendation for the future. Do not type in your security passwords on risky web pages. I wish for your wisdom. Bon voyage. Your computer device was attacked by the malicious app . Whats the trouble? I placed my malicious agent on a erotica portal, you clicked on this data and promptly adjusted the malware to your computer . The hostile program made your selfie-camera shooting and I enjoy the videotape with you dash your doodle. In next 5 hours this hostile program copied all your contacts. Right now, I receive your all your contact information and video with you masturbating, and now if you wish me to destroy all the data affect payment 350 $USD in BTC digital currency. Other way I want forward that this record to all your contacts . I forward you my Bitcoin wallet - XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX You possess 27 hours after reading. In a case if I possess transaction I am going to undo that this record once for all. I beg pardon for my mistakes- I live in China . P.S. this postal address, I have thieved it Good day, If you had been more careful while caressing yourself, I wouldn't worry you. I don't think that playing with yourself is very bad, but when all your colleagues, relatives and friends get a video recording of it - it is definitely bad for you. I placed malicious software on a website for adults (with porn) which was visited by you. When the target taps on a play button, your device starts recording the screen and all cameras on your device begin to work. Moreover, my program allows a remote desktop connection with keylogger function from the device, so I could collect all contacts from your e-mail, messengers and other social networks. I'm writing on this e-mail cuz it's your working address, so you must check it. I suppose that three hundred twenty usd is good enough for this little misstep. I made a split screen video (recorded from your screen (u have interesting tastes ) and camera ooooooh... its awful AF) So it's your choice. If you want me to erase this compromising evidence, use my Bitcoin wallet address: XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX You have one day after opening my message; I put a special tracking pixel in it, so when you will open it I will see. If you want me to show you the proofs, reply to this message and I will send my creation to five contacts that I got from your contacts. P.S. You can try to complain to the police, but I don't think that they can help, the investigation will last for 5 month- I'm from Ukraine - so I dgf lmao Hey there So I am the hacker who cracked your email address and device a few weeks back. You typed in your pwd on one of the sites you visited, and I intercepted that. Here is your password from (redacted) upon time of compromise: (redacted) Obviously you can can change it, or even already changed it. However it won't really matter, my malware modified it every time. Do not really try to contact me personally or find me. Via your email, I uploaded harmful code to your Operation System. I saved your entire contacts together with buddies, fellow workers, loved ones along with a entire history of visits to the World wide web resources. Also I set up a Virus on your system. You aren't my only target, I generally lock computers and ask for a ransom. But I was hit by the web pages of romantic material that you normally stop by. I am in shock of your own fantasies! I have never ever noticed anything at all like this! Consequently, when you had enjoyment on piquant web-sites (you know what I am talking about!) I made screenshot with utilizing my program from your camera of yours device. There after, I put together them to the content of the currently viewed site. There will certainly be giggling when I send these pics to your connections! Nevertheless I am certain you do not need this. Therefore, I expect to have payment from you for my silence. I feel $859 is an satisfactory price for this! Pay with Bitcoin. My Bitcoin wallet is xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx If you do not really understand how to do this - submit in to Google 'how to transfer money to the bitcoin wallet'. It is easy. Immediately after getting the given amount, all your files will be right away destroyed automatically. My computer virus will also get rid of itself through your operating-system. My Trojan viruses have auto alert, so I know when this specific e mail is read. I give you 2 days (48 hours) to make a payment. If this does not occur - just about all your associates will get outrageous pictures from your darkish secret life and your system will be blocked as well after two days. Do not end up being foolish! Police or buddies won't support you for sure ... P.S I can provide you with recommendation for the future. Do not type in your security passwords on risky web pages. I wish for your wisdom. Bon voyage. I Have YOUR code. I rule phone xxxx I SENT this newsletter from YOUR ACCOUNT. I look your device. I am in daze of your sex act fantasies! I made backup your contacts and files. I made screenshots from your digital camera of yours device. I want 888 $ to my (Bitcoin My )Bitcoin currency xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx If YOU don't transaction )Bitcoin. I share my quake of your golden age of porn fantasies with your contacts! If you do not know how to do this - enter into Google/ =how to transfer money to a Bitcoin& wallet- Time 30 hours. This excellent post as Subway & Dairy Queen. Hello! I'm a programmer who cracked your email account and device about half year ago. You entered a password on one of the insecure site you visited, and I catched it. Of course you can will change your password, or already made it. But it doesn't matter, my rat software update it every time. Please don't try to contact me or find me, it is impossible, since I sent you an email from your email account. Through your e-mail, I uploaded malicious code to your Operation System. I saved all of your contacts with friends, colleagues, relatives and a complete history of visits to the Internet resources. Also I installed a rat software on your device and long tome spying for you. You are not my only victim, I usually lock devices and ask for a ransom. But I was struck by the sites of intimate content that you very often visit. I am in shock of your reach fantasies! Wow! I've never seen anything like this! I did not even know that SUCH content could be so exciting! So, when you had fun on intime sites (you know what I mean!) I made screenshot with using my program from your camera of yours device. After that, I jointed them to the content of the currently viewed site. Will be funny when I send these photos to your contacts! And if your relatives see it? BUT I'm sure you don't want it. I definitely would not want to ... I will not do this if you pay me a little amount. I think $877 is a nice price for it! I accept only Bitcoins. My BTC wallet: xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx If you have difficulty with this - Ask Google "how to make a payment on a bitcoin wallet". It's easy. After receiving the above amount, all your data will be immediately removed automatically. My virus will also will be destroy itself from your operating system. My Trojan have auto alert, after this email is looked, I will be know it! You have 2 days (48 hours) for make a payment. If this does not happen - all your contacts will get crazy shots with your dirty life! And so that you do not obstruct me, your device will be locked (also after 48 hours) Do not take this frivolously! This is the last warning! Various security services or antiviruses won't help you for sure (I have already collected all your data). Here are the recommendations of a professional: Antiviruses do not help against modern malicious code. Just do not enter your passwords on unsafe sites! I hope you will be prudent. Bye. Same as before but they increased the amount I got an order from someone to kill you and your family but I am far from your house if you still love your family, I ask you to transfer 0.1 BTC to me. If you report this email, I will immediately kill your family. FORWARD THIS MAIL TO WHOEVER IS IMPORTANT IN YOUR COMPANY AND CAN MAKE DECISION! We Hacked network. We Caught Communications. We Backuped DATA And DOCUMENTS. We send this mail to you in YOUR account. After analyzing documents. We found Illegal activity - HIDING TAXES. That we want? I want two (2) Bitcoin To wallet Bitcoin. 1Dz7DbQmE7SNm3C5mb9syPcctgZECcCEbL That we do if you don't pay bitcoin? We send these Documents and Proofs to your Tax Department. And in this time Your network will be DDoS. Read that in this link https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Denial-of-service\_attack We are locking your operation system. Our friends, WannaCry, ready start and waiting command. Read that in this link https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/WannaCry\_ransomware\_attack This is our guarantee, that you don't clean evidence and building a protection policy. If you don't pay by in 7 days, attack will start. Attack including. 1.DDOS 2.Locking operation system 3.Sending all documents in Tax Departament Yours service going down permanently and price to stop will increase to Four (4) BTC, Price will go up one (1) BTC for every day of the attack. This is not a joke. Our attacks are extremely powerful - sometimes over 1 Tbps per second. And we pass CloudFlare and others remote protections! So, no cheap protection will help. Prevent this problem all with just Two (2) BTC Pay to our wallet Bitcoin. 1Dz7DbQmE7SNm3C5mb9syPcctgZECcCEbL AND YOU WILL NEVER AGAIN HEAR FROM US! If you read, hear fake-experts and assure yourself that this is not true. Remember that they are not responsible and your life don't important him. Their business is to speak and make money. Your business to do and make money and stay freedom. All mistakes in text we do specily. Bitcoin is anonymous, nobody will ever know you cooperated. Time started after open this mail. To track the reading of a message and the actions in it, I use the facebook pixel. Read that in this link Hello! I am a hacker who has access to your operating system. I also have full access to your account. I've been watching you for a few months now. The fact is that you were infected with malware through an adult site that you visited. If you are not familiar with this, I will explain. Trojan Virus gives me full access and control over a computer or other device. This means that I can see everything on your screen, turn on the camera and microphone, but you do not know about it. I also have access to all your contacts and all your correspondence. Why your antivirus did not detect malware? Answer: My malware uses the driver, I update its signatures every 4 hours so that your antivirus is silent. I made a video showing how you satisfy yourself in the left half of the screen, and in the right half you see the video that you watched. With one click of the mouse, I can send this video to all your emails and contacts on social networks. I can also post access to all your e-mail correspondence and messengers that you use. If you want to prevent this, transfer the amount of $500 to my bitcoin address (if you do not know how to do this, write to Google: "Buy Bitcoin"). My bitcoin address (BTC Wallet) is: x After receiving the payment, I will delete the video and you will never hear me again. I give you 50 hours (more than 2 days) to pay. I have a notice reading this letter, and the timer will work when you see this letter. Filing a complaint somewhere does not make sense because this email cannot be tracked like my bitcoin address. I do not make any mistakes. If I find that you have shared this message with someone else, the video will be immediately distributed. Best regards. Hey, I know your password is: Your computer was infected with my malware, RAT (Remote Administration Tool), your browser wasn't updated / patched, in such case it's enough to just visit some website where my iframe is placed to get automatically infected, if you want to find out more - Google: "Drive-by exploit". My malware gave me full access and control over your computer, meaning, I got access to all your accounts (see password above) and I can see everything on your screen, turn on your camera or microphone and you won't even notice about it. I collected all your private data and I was spying on you, I RECORDED (through your webcam) embarrassing moments of you, you know what I mean! After that I removed my malware to not leave any traces. I can publish all your private data everywhere and I can send the videos to all your contacts, post it on social network, publish it on the whole web, including the darknet, where the sick people are! Only you can prevent me from doing this and only I can help you out in this situation. Transfer exactly 1200$ with the current bitcoin (BTC) price to my bitcoin address. It's a very good offer, compared to all that horrible shit that will happen if I publish everything! You can easily buy bitcoin here: www.paxful.com , www.coingate.com , www.coinbase.com , or check for bitcoin ATM near you, or Google for other exchanger. You can send the bitcoin directly to my address, or create your own wallet first here: www.login.blockchain.com/en/#/signup/ , then receive and send to mine. My bitcoin address is: Copy and paste my address, it's (cAsE-sEnSEtiVE) I give you 3 days time to transfer the bitcoin! As I got access to this email account, I will know if this email has already been read. If you get this email multiple times, it's to make sure you read it and after payment you can ignore it. After receiving the payment, I will remove everything and you can life your live in peace like before. Next time update your browser before browsing the web! НЕLLО! I’m going to cut to thе chӓsе.I know ӓbout thе sеcrеt you ӓrе kееping from your wifе.Morе importӓntly,I hӓvе еvidеncе of whӓt you hӓvе bееn hiding.I won’t go into thе spеcifics hеrе in cӓsе your wifе intеrcеpts this,but you know whӓt I ӓm tӓlking ӓbout. You don’t know mе pеrsonӓlly ӓnd nobody hirеd mе to look into you.Nor did I go out looking to burn you.It’s just your bӓd luck thӓt I stumblеd ӓcross your misӓdvеnturеs whilе.I thеn put in morе timе thӓn I probӓbly should hӓvе looking into your lifе.Frӓnkly,I ӓm rеӓdy to forgеt ӓll ӓbout you ӓnd lеt you gеt on with your lifе.And I ӓm going to givе you two options thӓt will ӓccomplish thӓt vеry thing.Thosе two options ӓrе to еithеr ignorе this lеttеr,or simply pӓy mе $822.Lеt’s еxӓminе thosе two options in morе dеtӓil. Option 1 is to ignorе this lеttеr.Lеt mе tеll you whӓt will hӓppеn if you chosе this pӓth.I will tӓkе this еvidеncе ӓnd sеnd it to your wifе. And ӓs insurӓncе ӓgӓinst you intеrcеpting it bеforе your wifе gеts it,I will ӓlso sеnd copiеs to hеr friеnds ӓnd fӓmily.So,Evеn if you dеcidе to comе clеӓn with your wifе,it won’t protеct hеr from thе humiliӓtion shе will fееl whеn hеr friеnds ӓnd fӓmily find out your sordid dеtӓils from mе. Option 2 is to pӓy mе $822.Wе’ll cӓll this my ‘confidеntiӓlity fее.’Now lеt mе tеll you whӓt hӓppеns if you choosе this pӓth.Your sеcrеt rеmӓins your sеcrеt.You go on with your lifе ӓs though nonе of this еvеr hӓppеnеd.Though you mӓy wӓnt to do ӓ bеttеr job ӓt kееping your misdееds sеcrеt in thе futurе. At this point you mӓy bе thinking,‘I’ll just go to thе cops.’Which is why I hӓvе tӓkеn stеps to еnsurе this lеttеr cӓnnot bе trӓcеd bӓck to mе.So thӓt won’t hеlp,ӓnd it won’t stop thе еvidеncе from dеstroying your lifе.I’m not looking to brеӓk your bӓnk.I just wӓnt to bе compеnsӓtеd for thе timе I put into invеstigӓting you. $822 will closе thе books on thӓt. Lеt’s ӓssumе you hӓvе dеcidеd to mӓkе ӓll this go ӓwӓy ӓnd pӓy mе thе confidеntiӓlity fее.In kееping with my strӓtеgy to not go to jӓil,wе will not mееt in pеrson ӓnd thеrе will bе no physicӓl еxchӓngе of cӓsh.You will pӓy mе ӓnonymously using bitcoin.If you wӓnt to kееp your sеcrеt thеn sеnd $822 in bitcoin to thе Rеcеiving Bitcoin Addrеss listеd bеlow.Pӓymеnt must bе rеcеivеd within 1 dӓys of thе post. You should mӓkе ӓ trӓnsӓction of using bitcoins (cryptocurrеnsy): x [Bitcoin dеtӓils] Tеll no onе whӓt you will bе using thе bitcoin for or thеy mӓy not givе it to you.Thе procеdurе to obtӓin bitcoin cӓn tӓkе ӓ dӓy or two so do not put it off.Agӓin pӓymеnt must bе rеcеivеd within 1 dӓys of this lеttеr’s post mӓrkеd dӓtе.If I don’t rеcеivе thе bitcoin by thе dеӓdlinе,I will go ӓhеӓd ӓnd rеlеӓsе thе еvidеncе to еvеryonе.If you go thӓt routе,thеn thе lеӓst you could do is tеll your wifе so shе cӓn comе up with ӓn еxcusе to prеpӓrе hеr friеnds ӓnd fӓmily bеforе thеy find out.Thе clock is ticking. And here are some common keywords used in the email so that this thread can be found by people Googling the email: "Marlware, international hacker group, No person has compensated, very own video clip, software on the adult, porno sitio, one of your pass word, .br, specific pixel, sexual content web portal, a malware on the adult, a malware on the, double-screen, is a reasonable price tag for our little secret, you have a good taste lmao, I placed a malware on the adult vids, your browser began operating as a RDP, had been abusing yourself in front of computer display, you are one of those people that downloaded the malicious, I made a split-screen video, While you were watching the video, your web browser acted as, malware on the porn website and guess what, an unique pixel, you jerked off while watching an online video, When you pressed the play button the virus begins saving all the things thru, ja.scr, My malicious soft started your front cam, and also send the video link to all of yourfriends, I infected your gadget with a malware and now, AnywaysI downloaded all contacts, my program quickly got into your system, To a time where you jerk off watching","For the present moment I have at my disposal all, When you arouse sexually watching porno, In such a way all needed compromising material and contact, All information to yours SNSs user accounts, You watched sexual content portal and toss","Hello! WannaCry is back! All your, in front of the screen browsing adult stuff, As you flog the dummy watching, U are going to be offered 5 days after checking this notice, RAT 68006, the damnific malware, pastime and entertainment there, not my single victim, beat the dummy, buff the muffin, choke a chicken, front camera capturing video, with you frigging, with you chaturbating, with you masturbating, web digicam, U are going to have 5 dayss, i utilize just hacked wi, pressured this trojan to, glue a pair of videos, glue two videos, the RAT, if you want me to destroy this whole video, downloaded all contacts from your computer, your list of contacts or relatives will, I made a video that shows how you masturbate, hacked you through a virus in an ad on a porn website, my illiteracy, nоt mind on my illiterаcy, I рilfered all рrivy bаckground, videоtaре with yоur masturbаtion, my delеtеrious soft, cаmеra shооt the videоtaрe, you sеlf-аbusing, Differently I will send the video to all your colleagues and friends, your front-camera made the videotape with you self-abusing, RAT 98390 malware, the minute you went to one adult page, information to contact info I discovered on your devices and remember there is a lot of these, not including Double VPN As a result, I forced my malware to hook up to a mic, web camera and catch the video from it, poisoned a number of adult sites, video clip to fit on a single tv screen, This letter has invisible monitoring program inside and i will be aware of when you are going to check, doing ur stuff and a clip u jerked to, the investigation will last, I uploaded our malicious program on your device, furthermore malware saved exactly the video you chose, its a record with your wanking, friends will see u taking proper care of yourself, Your system is controlled by the malicious program, If you were more careful while playing with yourself, that whacking off to adult web-sites is, adult website which was poisoned with my malware, nor i think that jerking off to porn sites is really a gross thing, so I dgf lmao, proof just reply to this email with, if you want me to destroy all this compromising evidence, will send your video to 5 contacts, amount in Usd that can cope with this scenario, You are welcome to contact your local authorities, If you want proof, reply with, i pride myself in being apart of an internet group, so i dgf, I take good care of my being anonymous, information related to the RAT virus, been able get in to all ur units, to all of your contacts including, search engines like goo, case sensitive, so copy,, and at this moment I, It is a non-nego, don't waste my perso, thi s mes, back while visiting, showe ring, what should you do ?, porno webpage, this embarrassing situation, navigated to the page, bare-assed, on well-known websites and publications, I got an order from someone to kill you and your family, immediately kill your family, is an explosive device, My mercenary is, explosive device detonates, triggered your webcam, piquant websites, my exploit downloaded, replenish btc wallet, instantaneously erase, actual recorded material, neglect this email, my RAT trojan, video you jerked, I used keylogger, your disk dump, malware intercepts, installed a malware, remove your video footage, RAT onto your computer, greasy stimulating actions, excentric preferrables, porn web-page, to your Tax Department, network will be DDoS, friends, WannaCry, building a protection policy, in Tax Departament, Yours service going, we pass CloudFlare, hear fake-experts, backuped phone, -1663, of your joys, digits your phone, (porno), BIG pervert, both files and scale, naughty video clips, Soy un hacker, I installed spyware, n website with teen, malware on the porn website, very own recorded material""Marlware, international hacker group, No person has compensated, very own video clip, software on the adult, porno sitio, one of your pass word, specific pixel, sexual content web portal, a malware on the adult, a malware on the, double-screen, is a reasonable price tag for our little secret, you have a good taste lmao, I placed a malware on the adult vids, your browser began operating as a RDP, had been abusing yourself in front of computer display, you are one of those people that downloaded the malicious, I made a split-screen video, While you were watching the video, your web browser acted as, malware on the porn website and guess what, an unique pixel, you jerked off while watching an online video, When you pressed the play button the virus begins saving all the things thru, ja.scr, My malicious soft started your front cam, and also send the video link to all of yourfriends, I infected your gadget with a malware and now, AnywaysI downloaded all contacts, my program quickly got into your system, To a time where you jerk off watching","For the present moment I have at my disposal all, When you arouse sexually watching porno, In such a way all needed compromising material and contact, All information to yours SNSs user accounts, You watched sexual content portal and toss","Hello! WannaCry is back! All your, in front of the screen browsing adult stuff, As you flog the dummy watching, U are going to be offered 5 days after checking this notice, RAT 68006, the damnific malware, pastime and entertainment there, not my single victim, beat the dummy, buff the muffin, choke a chicken, front camera capturing video, with you frigging, with you chaturbating, with you masturbating, web digicam, U are going to have 5 dayss, i utilize just hacked wi, pressured this trojan to, glue a pair of videos, glue two videos, the RAT, if you want me to destroy this whole video, downloaded all contacts from your computer, your list of contacts or relatives will, I made a video that shows how you masturbate, hacked you through a virus in an ad on a porn website, my illiteracy, nоt mind on my illiterаcy, I рilfered all рrivy bаckground, videоtaре with yоur masturbаtion, my delеtеrious soft, cаmеra shооt the videоtaрe, you sеlf-аbusing, Differently I will send the video to all your colleagues and friends, your front-camera made the videotape with you self-abusing, RAT 98390 malware, the minute you went to one adult page, information to contact info I discovered on your devices and remember there is a lot of these, not including Double VPN As a result, I forced my malware to hook up to a mic, web camera and catch the video from it, poisoned a number of adult sites, video clip to fit on a single tv screen, This letter has invisible monitoring program inside and i will be aware of when you are going to check, doing ur stuff and a clip u jerked to, the investigation will last, I uploaded our malicious program on your device, furthermore malware saved exactly the video you chose, its a record with your wanking, friends will see u taking proper care of yourself, Your system is controlled by the malicious program, If you were more careful while playing with yourself, that whacking off to adult web-sites is, adult website which was poisoned with my malware, nor i think that jerking off to porn sites is really a gross thing, so I dgf lmao, proof just reply to this email with, if you want me to destroy all this compromising evidence, will send your video to 5 contacts, amount in Usd that can cope with this scenario, You are welcome to contact your local authorities, If you want proof, reply with, i pride myself in being apart of an internet group, so i dgf, I take good care of my being anonymous, information related to the RAT virus, been able get in to all ur units, to all of your contacts including, search engines like goo, case sensitive, so copy,, and at this moment I, It is a non-nego, don't waste my perso, thi s mes, back while visiting, showe ring, what should you do ?, porno webpage, this embarrassing situation, navigated to the page, bare-assed, on well-known websites and publications, I got an order from someone to kill you and your family, immediately kill your family, is an explosive device, My mercenary is, explosive device detonates, triggered your webcam, piquant websites, my exploit downloaded, replenish btc wallet, instantaneously erase, actual recorded material, neglect this email, my RAT trojan, video you jerked, I used keylogger, your disk dump, malware intercepts, installed a malware, remove your video footage, RAT onto your computer, greasy stimulating actions, excentric preferrables, porn web-page, to your Tax Department, network will be DDoS, friends, WannaCry, building a protection policy, in Tax Departament, Yours service going, we pass CloudFlare, hear fake-experts, backuped phone, -1663, of your joys, digits your phone, (porno), BIG pervert, both files and scale, naughty video clips, Soy un hacker, I installed spyware, n website with teen, malware on the porn website, very own recorded material"
Bitcoin exchanges might soon share money laundering data in the UK Shaurya Malwa · 3 weeks ago ... Wikipedia founder Jimmy Wales has shut down rumors about his endorsement of BSV after CoinGeek published an article celebrating him as a keynote speaker at the CoinGeek London conference. Wales noted that he will be attending the conference as a critic, not a supporter, adding that BSV has ... Note: Exchanges provide highly varying degrees of safety, security, privacy, and control over your funds and information. Perform your own due diligence and choose a wallet where you will keep your bitcoin before selecting an exchange. DigiByte (DGB) is an open-source cryptocurrency running on the DigiByte Blockchain, a decentralised international blockchain created in 2013. The DigiByte coin was developed in 2013 and released in January 2014. Although based on Bitcoin, adjustments in the code allow for improved functionality, including 15-second block time and improved security.As of July 2018 DigiByte has a total market ... Binance cryptocurrency exchange - We operate the worlds biggest bitcoin exchange and altcoin crypto exchange in the world by volume From Bitcoin Wiki. Jump to: navigation, search. Warning: Please be careful with your money. When sending funds to an exchange or other counterparty you are trusting that the operator will not abscond with your bitcoins and that the operator maintains secure systems that protect against internal or external theft. It is recommended that you obtain the real-world identity of the operator and ...
SAVAGE CRASH - LIVE! 2 MORE CHINA EXCHANGES CLOSE!!! Market Cap UNDER $100bn!
SAVAGE CRASH - LIVE!💥 2 MORE CHINA EXCHANGES CLOSE!!! Market Cap UNDER $100bn! 😱 Learn which Crypto I have gone ALL IN on for $10 instead of $195 here: https... China's central bank launched spot checks on major bitcoin exchanges in Beijing and Shanghai on Wednesday, knocking the price of the cryptocurrency down by 1... Binance registered and gets approval in China? Are Chinese exchanges coming? ----- My other channels and subscribe! https://www.youtube.co... The currency plunged 50 % in December since BTC China (China's largest Bitcoin operator) announced that it can no longer accept brand-new deposits due to government policies. And according to ... In 2014, before Ethereum and altcoin mania, before ICOs and concerns about Tether and Facebook's Libra, Motherboard gained access to a massive and secretive ...